Night Layer

Nightly routes and portable sleep signals

Core governance surface for nightly interpretation: cohort-scoped routes, portable nightly families, held-out signal, and deployment status kept in one readable layer.

Novartis D0 fatigue contextual interpretation

novartis_fatigue_d0_contextual

accepted same_day auto-promote no

Scope

cohortnovartis
targetfatigue_d0
usesame_day_interpretation
deploymentdeploy_only_within_matched_cohort
transportnegative_open_transport

Metrics

heldout_r20.4350
heldout_mae1.7972
heldout_rmse2.2791
coverage_pct80.2118
interval_width5.1123
transport_r2-0.1106

Gate Blockers

transport_not_negativeportable_family_loco_floor

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/novartis_fatigue_d0_contextual.json

Novartis D0 pain contextual interpretation

novartis_pain_d0_contextual

accepted same_day auto-promote no

Scope

cohortnovartis
targetpain_d0
usesame_day_interpretation
deploymentdeploy_within_cohort_and_monitor
transportnot_tested

Metrics

heldout_r20.3705
heldout_mae1.4878
heldout_rmse1.8079
coverage_pct81.3239
interval_width3.8933
transport_r2null

Gate Blockers

transport_not_negativeportable_family_loco_floor

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/novartis_pain_d0_contextual.json

LifeSnaps D+1 contextual forecasting

lifesnaps_stress_d1_contextual

accepted next_day auto-promote yes

Scope

cohortlifesnaps
targetstress_d1
usenext_day_forecasting
deploymentdeploy_within_cohort_and_monitor
transportweak_open_transport

Metrics

heldout_r20.3461
heldout_mae1.0176
heldout_rmse1.8627
coverage_pct80.0000
interval_width2.3329
transport_r20.0103

Gate Blockers

none

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/lifesnaps_stress_d1_contextual.json

PMData D0 contextual interpretation

pmdata_stress_d0_contextual

accepted same_day auto-promote yes

Scope

cohortpmdata
targetstress_d0
usesame_day_interpretation
deploymentdeploy_within_cohort_and_monitor
transportweak_open_transport

Metrics

heldout_r20.2378
heldout_mae1.0968
heldout_rmse1.4369
coverage_pct80.2632
interval_width3.9201
transport_r20.0099

Gate Blockers

none

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/pmdata_stress_d0_contextual.json

LifeSnaps D0 contextual interpretation

lifesnaps_stress_d0_contextual

experimental same_day auto-promote no

Scope

cohortlifesnaps
targetstress_d0
usesame_day_interpretation
deploymentuse_as_exploratory_within_cohort
transportnegative_open_transport

Metrics

heldout_r20.1673
heldout_mae1.7386
heldout_rmse2.4768
coverage_pct79.9779
interval_width4.6920
transport_r2-0.0112

Gate Blockers

heldout_signal_floorrobustness_blockers_absenttransport_not_negative

Robustness Flags

quality_status:mae_gap
Route Card
reports/route_cards/lifesnaps_stress_d0_contextual.json

PMData D0 contextual interpretation

pmdata_fatigue_d0_contextual

experimental same_day auto-promote no

Scope

cohortpmdata
targetfatigue_d0
usesame_day_interpretation
deploymentuse_as_exploratory_within_cohort
transportnegative_open_transport

Metrics

heldout_r20.1052
heldout_mae1.1346
heldout_rmse1.3847
coverage_pct80.2632
interval_width3.3904
transport_r2-0.0663

Gate Blockers

heldout_signal_floortransport_not_negativeportable_family_loco_floor

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/pmdata_fatigue_d0_contextual.json

PMData D+1 sleep-forward forecasting

pmdata_stress_d1_sleep_forward

experimental next_day auto-promote no

Scope

cohortpmdata
targetstress_d1
usenext_day_forecasting
deploymentresearch_only_do_not_operationalize
transportweak_open_transport

Metrics

heldout_r20.0661
heldout_mae1.1661
heldout_rmse1.5509
coverage_pct80.3987
interval_width4.4821
transport_r20.0056

Gate Blockers

heldout_signal_floor

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/pmdata_stress_d1_sleep_forward.json

Portable family stress D0 experimental route

stress_d0_family_portable_experimental

experimental portable_windowed auto-promote no

Scope

cohortportable_family_stress_d0
targetstress_d0_portable_index
usecross_cohort_portable_reference
deploymentresearch_only_portable_family_reference
transportpositive_open_transport

Metrics

heldout_r20.0603
heldout_mae0.1875
heldout_rmse0.2339
coverage_pct79.9636
interval_width0.6666
transport_r20.0735

Gate Blockers

heldout_signal_floor

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/stress_d0_family_portable_experimental.json

Portable family stress D+1 experimental route

stress_d1_family_portable_experimental

experimental next_day auto-promote no

Scope

cohortportable_family_stress_d1
targetstress_d1_portable_index
usecross_cohort_portable_reference
deploymentresearch_only_portable_family_reference
transportpositive_open_transport

Metrics

heldout_r20.0291
heldout_mae0.1795
heldout_rmse0.2296
coverage_pct80.0390
interval_width0.6764
transport_r20.0685

Gate Blockers

heldout_signal_floor

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/stress_d1_family_portable_experimental.json

PMData D+1 sleep-forward forecasting

pmdata_fatigue_d1_sleep_forward

experimental next_day auto-promote no

Scope

cohortpmdata
targetfatigue_d1
usenext_day_forecasting
deploymentresearch_only_do_not_operationalize
transportnot_tested

Metrics

heldout_r20.0271
heldout_mae1.1795
heldout_rmse1.4522
coverage_pct80.0664
interval_width3.4009
transport_r2null

Gate Blockers

heldout_signal_floortransport_not_negative

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/pmdata_fatigue_d1_sleep_forward.json

Portable family anxiety experimental route

anxiety_family_portable_experimental

experimental portable_windowed auto-promote no

Scope

cohortportable_family_anxiety
targetanxiety_portable_index
usecross_cohort_portable_reference
deploymentresearch_only_portable_family_reference
transportweak_open_transport

Metrics

heldout_r2-0.0466
heldout_mae0.8591
heldout_rmse1.0179
coverage_pct79.8680
interval_width2.5501
transport_r20.0202

Gate Blockers

heldout_signal_floor

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/anxiety_family_portable_experimental.json

ECSMP D0 exploratory interpretation

ecsmp_fatigue_d0_contextual

support_only same_day auto-promote no

Scope

cohortecsmp
targetfatigue_d0
usesame_day_interpretation
deploymentinsufficient_information
transportnot_tested

Metrics

heldout_r2null
heldout_maenull
heldout_rmsenull
coverage_pctnull
interval_widthnull
transport_r2null

Gate Blockers

heldout_signal_floorcalibrated_coverage_bandtransport_not_negative

Robustness Flags

none
Route Card
reports/route_cards/ecsmp_fatigue_d0_contextual.json